Showing posts with label IPO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IPO. Show all posts

Tuesday, 9 July 2013

"X"pensive AirAsia X IPO ?

Slate for its debut trading tomorrow (10th July 2013), can AirAsia X follows the footsteps of its sister company AirAsia? What would happen tomorrow pretty much depends on the fair value given by various research houses.


AirAsia X is a leading long haul low cost carrier since operating on Nov 2007, primarily in the Asia Pacific region. Currently, it serves 14 destinations acorss Asia, Australia and the Middle East, with 11 A330-300 planes.


Investment analysis:

  1. Benefits from synergies as part of AirAsia group
  2. Strong brand name
  3. Operate in the fast growing aviation market in the world
  4. Lowest unit cost base in the region
  5. Strong ancillary income at RM141/pax and expected to grow further

How about the risks?

  1. High jet fuel price
  2. World crisis i.e. war, terrorism, epidemic outbreak
  3. Slowdown in world economy
  4. Emergence of other long-haul LCCs
  5. Delaying of KLIA2 which may hamper its growth prospects
  6. Strengthening of USD against MYR, because 79% of its debt is denominated in USD

So, what's the fair value?
Either Rm1.40 or Rm1.20 given. Seems like this is not an exciting IPO for investors. Anyway, tomorrow debut most likely will remain in positive territory because there is a "king card" in hand. Yes. Maybank Investment Bank will be the stabilizing manager who can purchase up to 15% of the total number of shares offered under the IPO. No worry.


Thursday, 21 February 2013

Why TUNE INSURANCE is Out of Tune?


Every wonder why we didn't cover the IPO for Tune Ins ? Other than CNY mood, it's because of the unexciting part of this new stock. Why? Please read on...


Tune Ins Holdings Sdn Bhd (TIH) operates 2 core businesses. First, it provides online insurance where insurance products are sold as part of the customer’s online booking process with their partners namely AirAsia, Tune Hotels and AirAsia Expedia. TIH also operates a general insurance business, through 83.26% owned subsidiary - TIMB.



Why invest in Tune Insurance Holdings?

  1. Wide and cost effective distribution channels
  2. Provide ease in buying coverage
  3. Exclusive partnership with AirAsia
  4. Ability to ride on AirAsia’s robust growth
  5. Additional revenue and cost synergies from TIMB
  6. Robust industry prospects


However, some of the above investing reasons had also became the disadvantages of TIH. It's reliant on AirAsia business is too important. TIH's success is very much depends on the success of AirAsia businesses, and because of its relationship with AirAsia, TIH would face difficulties in forging a partnership with other airline.


Meanwhile, for TIH domestic general insurance, stiff competition and the implementation of tighter capital requirement for insurance companies may affect its operations. It's in the industry where size does matter. I don't think TIH can cross-sell it's online clients easily on other general insurance, such as fire and car insurance.


Forecast and Valuation given by TA Securities Research
Going forward, we believe TIH’s gross earned premiums will be closely linked to increase in passengers carried on AirAsia. We estimate AirAsia’s passengers carried to increase at an encouraging pace of around 15% per annum. Tagging a 20% to industry’s targeted PER of 10x, we fairly value TIH at RM1.00.


Fair Value RM 1.00 ???
Hey dude, the IPO price is RM1.35 !!!

Friday, 19 October 2012

New IPO: Astro Malaysia Holdings

The Return of a Pay TV Giant!!! Astro Malaysia Holdings (AMH) is poised to list on Bursa's Main Market on 19th Oct with a market cap of RM15.6bil. The largest pay-TV operator in Malaysia has a de factor monopoly, commanding a 99% market share. Are you excited, again?



Background

AMH is the leading media entertainment group in Malaysia with 3,100,000 customers and one of the largest in South East Asia. It is primarily engaged in the creation, aggregation and distribution of content over multiple delivery platforms including TV, radio, publications and digital media within Malaysia.

What's the different from the then delisted entity?

Recall that Astro All Asia Networks (AAAN) was the one taken private in 2010 by its single largest shareholder Astro Holdisngs SB. Meanwhile, AMH is effectively the domestic media business arm of previously-listed AAAN.

How good was Astro Malaysia Holdings?
  • A monopoly in the pay TV segment with 99% market share
  • A capital intensive industry, creates a high barrier for new entrants
  • A buffet of content with presently 156 channels of which 68 are home grown channels. The increase in broadcasting capacity to 180SD and 102 HD channels with the launch of Measat-3B in 2014 will help boost ARPU and subscriber base.
  • Multi platform content distribution would enable the group to reach out to more customers

After the good things, let's have a look at some potential risk that AMH may face:
  • The group is subject to extensive regulation with its license subject to renewal;
  • The group’s exclusive satellite rights would end in 2017;
  • Its business is dependent on its infrastructure namely MEASAT-3 and MEASAT-3A and the launch of MEASAT-3B in 2014. Any failure to its existing satellites or delay in launching MEASAT 3B would interrupt its business operations;
  • Competition from incumbent IPTV player such as Hypp TV and the highly anticipated Asian Broadcasting Network could erode its market share. However we foresee this as a longer term threat.
  • Escalating rate of subscriber churn rate may decrease the group’s profitability given the presence of illegal set up boxes in the market such as skybox;
  • Unable to source or procure content at reasonable rates.
  • Its IPTV and OTT services may be affected by disruptions, delays and other difficulties from third-party network and broadband service providers just to list a few.
  • Exposure to foreign currency risk since the purchases of setup boxes, international content cost and transponders lease payments are mainly denominated in USD would impact its operations.


Then, how attractive is the pricing? Is it expensive? Based on different valuation method, below is the fair value given by various research houses:


Source: Various including research report from TA and OSK.

Tuesday, 4 September 2012

New IPO: IGB Reit


IGB REIT comprises of Mid Valley Megamall (retail; 1.72m sf NLA) and the Gardens Mall (retail; 0.82sf NLA) with a total appraised value of RM4.6b. Currently, Mid Valley Megamall is 99.8% occupied and the Gardens Mall is 99.7% occupied. Based on the IPO price of RM1.25, IGB REIT’s market capitalization would be RM4.3bn, making it the largest pure retail M-REITFollowing closely behind IGB REIT in terms of market capitalization size is Pavilion REIT (RM4.08b), Sunway REIT (RM4.02b) and CMMT (RM3.02b).


What are the key selling points for IGB REIT?

  1. Prime asset with strategic location, huge catchment area and well connected transportation networks.


  2. Diverse based of tenants to sustain rental income.

  3. Low gearing provides ample room for acquisition growth. Based on IGB REIT’s Pro Forma Statement of Financial position, IGB REIT’s gearing ratio upon listing will be approximately 25.8%, which is below the average of listed MREITs of approximately 29.2% as at 31 Dec 2011. Hence, for future acquisition, IGB REIT has the flexibility to borrow additional RM1.1bn before reaching the statutory gearing level of 50%.



What's the fair value?
As shown below, different research house gave different fair value by using different method of valuations. To summarize it, the fair values estimated could give investors an upside potential of between 7.2% - 16%. Does this enough for you to consider to subscribe this IPO? Anyway, only 1% of the shares were being allocated to retail investors. Good luck.


Source: Various research report

Monday, 11 June 2012

IPO: Gas Malaysia

Gas Malaysia Berhad (GMB) was established to sell, market and distribute natural gas and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG). GMB is also responsible for the construction and operation of the Natural Gas Distribution System (NGDS), which is a system comprising 1,800km of gas pipelines and stations within Peninsular Malaysia owned by GMB. NGDS is connected to the Peninsular Gas Utilisation (PGU), which is the gas transmission pipeline across Peninsular Malaysia owned and operated by PGB.


GMB’s core business to sell, market and distribute natural gas to industrial, commercial and residential customers in Peninsular Malaysia via NGDS. In other words, GMB purchases natural gas from PGB and sells to GMB’s own customers at a profit margin. There are currently two players in Peninsular Malaysia’s natural gas distribution industry, comprising GMB and PGB. However, both serve different sets of customers, whereby GMB’s customer base consists of users that initially consume less than 2 MMScfd, whereas PGB supplies to PETRONAS customers consuming more than 2 MMScfd. Customers that initially consume less than 2MMScfd but subsequently increase their consumption exceeding 2MMScfd will remain as GMB’s customers.

Like a toll road?
Looking at it from a slightly different perspective, GMB’s business can be compared to that of PLUS i.e. a toll road operator. Basically, consider GMB’s pipeline infrastructure as a highway, while the “toll” is GMB’s absolute gross margins, i.e RM2.02-2.25, while the “cars” represent the volume of natural gas supplied to GMB’s customers. We believe this comparison is fair, as GMB does not bear the risk of volatile natural gas prices as it buys and sells natural gas at regulated prices. As such, further growth in GMB’s sales volume would further improve its economies of scale given that other costs are largely fixed administrative costs.




In February 2012, GMB signed a New Gas Supply Agreement (NGSA) with Petronas whereby effective from 1 January 2013, the maximum limit for GMB to supply to its customers individually will increase from 2 MMScfd to 5 MMScfd. The NGSA has a 10-year tenure with an option to extend for an additional 5 years. In addition, GMB also supplies LPG to consumers in Peninsular Malaysia.


Strong cash pile, 100% dividend payout for FY12. Management indicated that it will spend RM140-RM150m in FY12 for the expansion of GMB’s Natural Gas Distribution System and RM40m p.a. in both FY13 and FY14 for maintenance purposes. We think that it is possible for CAPEX to be funded internally, judging from the group’s huge cash pile of RM327m and retained earnings of RM360m as of Dec 2011. Besides, GMB is also committed to paying out 100% of its FY12 net earnings as dividends and it is targeting a minimum payout ratio of 75% from FY13 onwards.



Source: TA Securities, OSK Research, RHB Research Institute

Wednesday, 15 February 2012

New IPO: Sentoria Group


Sentoria Group Berhad (Sentoria) is principally involved in two complementary core business divisions, namely property development and leisure and hospitality. Its property development business division specializes in township developments and resort city developments, while the leisure and hospitality business division owns / leases, manages and operates the hotels / resorts and theme park facilities and attractions.




Its Bukit Gambang Resort City (BGRC) leisure and hospitality facility in Kuantan is the largest integrated resort city in Malaysia that resides on a 547-acre land area and features multiple attractions in a single location.

The Listing Exercise


Future Income Generating Plan...

Looking ahead, Sentoria plans to enhance its recurring income stream from BGRC, by adding new attractions such as Safari Park, Aquarium Park, Adventure Land, and expand the MICE division by constructing a grand ballroom with 3,050 pax capacity to increase the average revenue and length of stay per visitor. Product mix will also be expanded by constructing themed villas (Global Heritage South – Amsterdam, Venice, and Barcelona villa etc) in BGRC, and commercial properties to add development value to acquired land.

As for its property development division, the company is currently looking for opportunities to diversify to other states, such as Selangor and Negeri Sembilan. Currently, it has 237 acres of land, mainly in Kuantan and BGRC, with an estimated GDV of RM1.48bn.



Wednesday, 23 November 2011

New IPO: Pavilion REIT


Are you bored of the current small market capitalization of REITs in Malaysia? I think Sunway REIT (the largest REIT right now) is by far sitting there very lonely without anyone closer to it. Come 7th December 2011, we will witnessed a new contender - Pavilion REIT, to challenge the title. Although it may started-off in 2nd place, the new REIT may grows to clinch the first place from SunREIT. Below is some info taken from RHB Research report on the IPO;


Pavilion REIT (PavREIT) has an asset size of RM3.5bn, just after the largest MREIT - Sunway REIT’s RM4.5bn. PavREIT has two assets – Pavilion KL Mall which is worth RM3.4bn and Pavilion Tower (office) RM128m.

The Prime Asset

Pavilion Mall is one of the only four premium retail malls in KL. It is designed to complement the malls along Jalan Bukit Bintang, developing the street to a key shopping destination in the region. Located at the “Golden Triangle”, which is the business, shopping, entertainment and tourism district, the mall enjoys massive catchment of population. It has an NLA of 1.33m sqf.


Since it commenced its operations in late 2007, occupancy has consistently stayed above 96%, with a 3-year CAGR of 4% in average rental rate. With such a short operating history, the mall has recorded 31m visits in 2010, comparable to Suria KLCC’s 40m footfalls. Over the longer term, Pavilion Mall is poised to enjoy higher number of visits as it will sit near to the upcoming MRT station, which is less than 300m away. The covered skybridge currently under construction that connects Pavilion Mall and KL Convention Centre which in turn adjoins Suria KLCC and the Petronas Twin Towers, will also pull in more shopper traffic between the two tourist spots.



The Pavilion Tower (NLA of 167k sqf) is an office tower connected to Pavilion Mall. It currently has an occupancy rate of 41.4% (expected to achieve 80% by year end), housing Malton roup, Mrail International, Clever Eagle and Aker Engineering (from 1st July). As the office tower only contributes about 2% to total rental income, coupled with the oversupply of office space in KL city centre, we are neutral on this commercial asset.

Future Growth Potential

Three other retail assets can potentially be injected in future for growth. PavREIT has been granted rights of first refusals (ROFR) by its sponsor and a 3rd party to purchase fahrenheit88, Pavilion Mall extension and an upcoming community mall in USJ Subang. These assets are estimated to have a combined value of about RM1.5-2bn. We believe the injection of assets will take 2-3 years, as only farenheit88 is still in the early stage of operation, and the other two malls will only be completed in three years’ time.


How to Value?

We benchmark PavREIT against KLCCP. Although KLCCP includes non-retail assets such as office towers and hotel apart from Suria KLCC, all these assets are of Grade A class. To reflect its prime status, we value PavREIT at a target yield of 5%, which is close to the average yield of 4.72% for KLCCP over the past 5 years (we gross up to exclude the impact of corporate tax – as REITs do not have corporate tax component). This translates to a fair value of RM1.14, based on our FY12 DPU estimate.

Source: RHB Research report





Friday, 15 July 2011

New IPO: Bumi Armada

Bumi Armada Bhd (BAB) is seeking a listing on 21st July 2011 with an enlarged share capital of 2.93bn shares of RM0.20 each on the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia. Based on the retail IPO price of RM3.03 per share, BAB will have a market capitalization of RM8.87bn. It expects to raise gross proceeds of about RM1.95bn from the flotation. Some 38% of the proceeds will be used to pare down bank borrowings while 29% and 28% will be used for capital expenditure and working capital respectively. The balance 5% will be used to pay listing expenses.


Company Profile
Bumi Armada Berhad is the largest owner and operator of offshore support vessels in Malaysia and is an established and trusted service partner in the oil and gas industry. It had established a strong position in FPSO systems, a growing Transport & Installation business and competency in management of large projects.

With head office in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and shore-bases in several countries around the globe, BAB currently serve clients in South East Asia, Congo, India, Mexico, Africa, Venezuela and the Caspian Sea region

Principal Activities

BAB has 4 main business units, which are:
  1. floating production, storage and offloading system (FPSO)
  2. offshore support vessel (OSV)
  3. transport and installation (T&I)
  4. oilfield services (OFS)
It also has 2 support units, which are:
  1. fleet management services (FMS)
  2. engineering, procurement and construction (EPC)
Nevertheless, the company’s bread and butter is its FPSO and OSV business, which generated about 45% and 55% of revenue in FY09 respectively and 44% and 34% in FY10. BAB’s record of consistent execution and its in-house expertise throughout the value chain allows the group to expand its vessel deployment footprint beyond its base in Malaysia to more than 10 countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America.


Investment Catalysts:
  1. High oil prices to support E&P spending
  2. Higher energy demand from global economic recovery
  3. Industry moving towards 1-stop solutions, where BAB's 3 combined core businesses would qualify it as a 1-stop solution provider
  4. Targeting a niche market in FPSO, which only a few FPSO owners in the market due to the high capex required
  5. Strong RM5.8bn order book and customer base, which should keep BAB busy over the next 2-3 years
  6. Active corporate branding
Valuation given by OSK Research:
We are initiating coverage on BAB with a Subscribe/Buy recommendation with fair value of RM3.65 based on sum-of-parts valuation. This is equivalent to a PER of 18x FY12 EPS, a valuation which is fair given the company’s sheer size and its ability to provide 1-stop solutions starting from the O&G exploration to decommissioning stage. Also, since an estimated more than 70% of its business provides recurring income and constant cash flow, the stock deserves a premium valuation over other local O&G supporting companies, who are dependent on one-off jobs.

Source: OSK Research dated 7 July 2011

Monday, 11 July 2011

New IPO: OldTown

OldTown Bhd is a home-grown proprietor involved in the white coffee business that also operates with an extensive chain of cafes in Malaysia. The group has a total of 182 café outlets in Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. It also distributes its coffee and other beverage products particularly in Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong although its products are also marketed worldwide.
Inspired to provide quality white coffee to Malaysians, the group's founders Go Ching Mun and Tan Say Yap created their own instant white coffee formula in 1999. The duo established their manufacturing operations in the same year under the "OLDTOWN" brand name and in 2005, expanded vertically into the food services segment under the "OLD TOWN WHITE COFFEE" brand name until today.

How far can the coffee's aroma go?

OldTown plans to open 27 more outlets in FY11, which will bring the total number of outlets to 209. The group also plans to relocate its food processing operations and manufacturing plant to a central location in Ipoh. Construction of the new plant started in 2Q2011 for completion by 2013. The new plant, once completed, is expected to ramp up the group‟s production capacity by 500%.


Valuations...
We remain neutral on the prospects of OldTown's F&B segment which contributes the bulk of its revenue due to stiff competition and rising costs. We value OldTown at 12.5x FY11 EPS, which translates into a fair value of RM1.34, or a 7.2% upside from the listing price of RM1.25. The group has recommended a dividend payout of no less than 50% for FY11/12, which translates into a divided yield of 4.3%-4.8%.

OSK Research
Source: OSK Research

Wednesday, 29 June 2011

MSM: So Far So SWEET (30th June 2011)

New Bursa Malaysia comer, MSM is the leading sugar producer in Malaysia, with a total market share of 57% in 2010 (based on production volume). It is one of two sugar refiners in the country, the other being Tradewinds (M) Bhd. Following its listing, MSM will be the only directly listed sugar refiner in Malaysia.


It has two sugar refineries in Prai, Penang and Chuping, Perlis with production capacity of 1.11m tonnes per year, as well as the only sugar cane plantation and mill in Malaysia. MSM’s sugar cane plantation is 4,454 ha in size, while its sugar mill has a capacity of 5,500 tonnes/day.

No wonder MSM had gained 26% on its debut, albeit profit taking the following day. Yet, many investors are pouring their interest in this counter maybe for the following reasons:

  1. A potential beneficiary of a free market for sugar soon – in view of the Government’s moves to reduce subsidies for sugar over the last year and a half;
  2. Beneficiary of the Government’s long-term contract for raw sugar – given that raw sugar comprises 80% of its production costs;
  3. Beneficiary of weakening US$ - given that MSM imports 98% of its raw sugar requirements;
  4. Focusing more on export markets to grow margins and profitability - given that margins in the domestic market are relatively stable due to the price ceiling in place; and
  5. 36% growth in capacity within the next five years to cater for export opportunities given the widening spread between raw and refined sugar prices.

OSK Research

MSM produces various products including fine granulated white sugar, coarse granulated white sugar, coarse brown sugar, soft brown sugar, icing sugar, caster sugar, super fine white sugar and molasses. White sugar comprises the majority of its sales volume. MSM’s sugar is sold under the brands of “Gula Prai” and “Gula Perlis”. MSM breaks down its sales into four categories:
  1. Domestic – which comprise sales to the domestic market and which is entitled to a subsidy from the government;
  2. Local export – which comprises sales to domestic industrial customers, who use the sugar to manufacture products for export;
  3. Export – which comprise sales to export markets like Singapore, Australia, New Zealand and Pakistan and are made via traders; and
  4. Other – which is made up entirely of sales of molasses.
Valuations and Fair Value
OSK Research: We peg MSMM to 13.0x FY11 EPS, which gives us a fair value of RM5.16. We are basing our valuation on 3 other non-government linked sugar refining companies with similar FY10 net profit and refined sugar production capacity. However, we think that MSMM should trade at a premium to its peer average PE of 11.7x given its link to Felda Group, which confers it the benefits that come with having a GLC as a majority shareholder. MSMM plans to pay out at least 50% of its earnings as dividend. Assuming a 50% dividend payout ratio, the stock offers dividend yields of 5.9% and 6.1% for FY11 and FY12 respectively.
Regional Peers Comparison - OSK Research
RHB Research: For valuation purposes, we have compared MSM to its regional listed peers. In our view, although Tradewinds is the only other sugar refiner in the country, we believe MSM is not directly comparable to Tradewinds, given that Tradewinds’ business comprises sugar, rice and palm oil. Based on our analysis, MSM’s regional peers are trading at an average PER of 11.6x FY11 and 10.6x FY12. As such, we attribute a target PER of 11x FY12 to MSM’s earnings, in between its regional peers’ valuations for FY11 and FY12, and obtain a fair value of RM4.90. This implies a 40% upside from the IPO price of RM3.50/share. At our fair value of RM4.90, investors would also benefit from a dividend yield of 4-5% p.a.

Source: OSK Research and RHB Research

Tuesday, 21 June 2011

New IPO: Eversendai

En-route to Main Board of Bursa Malaysia on 1st July 2011, Eversendai Corp is a structural steel specialist with operations predominantly in the Middle East, Malaysia and India. Currently, the company is bidding for RM1.5 billion worth of infrastructure, high-rise building and power plant projects in Southeast Asia, India and Middle East after being invited by public and private sectors.


Its outstanding construction order book stood at RM1.4 billion as at 16th May 2011, while owning 4 fabrication plants in Malaysia and Middle East with a combined annual capacity of 119,000 tonnes.

What is so attractive about Eversendai?

According to RHB Research, Eversendai's key appeal to investors lies in:
  1. It being a rare "outside-looking-in" home-grown construction company that has excelled in the international market, particularly, the Middle East, based on its own strength, practically almost indifferent to the local construction cycle;
  2. The recognition by key international contractors as a highly reliable structural steel contractor from past assignments puts Eversendai in a sweet spot in the sense that it is often named the structural steel subcontractor by most international contractors participating in the same international tenders;
  3. Its strong market position in UAE and Qatar by virtue of its 26.5% market share in terms of fabrication capacity; and
  4. Its good earnings visibility underpinned by RM1.4 billion outstanding order book and strong likelihood of securing about another RM1 billion worth of new jobs by end of the year.
Eversendai's expertise in power plant was gained from the construction of the Tanjung Bin, Manjung and Jimah power plants several years ago. In India, it has 4 on-going power plant projects.
Source: Business Times
Source: RHB Research
Maybank Investment Bank Bhd is the sole adviser, underwriter and book runner for the IPO. Meanwhile, RHB Research is projecting the earning per share (EPS) of Eversendai to grow by 15.1% and 12% in FY12/12-13, assuming it is to secure RM1.4bn, RM1.5bn, and RM1.6bn worth of new contracts in FY12/11-13. As such, it arrived at an indicative fair value of RM2.27 for Eversendai based on 14x FY12/12 EPS.

If that is true, there is a 33% upside from the RM1.70 IPO price. Would it be a good BUY?

Update:
Eversendai final retail price fixed at RM1.62 per share, while institutional price at RM1.70.

Monday, 23 May 2011

New IPO: UOA Development Berhad

Being one of the most established developer in Klang Valley, UOAD is going to be a darling property stocks for investors once listed. The strong "UOA" brand name as a developer of high end residential and commercial properties, makes it stands out from its competitors.



What's so interesting about UOAD?
Based on the IPO price of RM2.90 per share, the company is listing with a market capitalization of RM3.5bn, which eventually will place UOAD to be the 4th largest property company in Bursa Malaysia. The top 3 are UEMLand, SP Setia and IJMLand.

Don't forget about UOA REIT, which is the real estate investment trust of UOA Group in Malaysia. In other words, whatever properties that was construct by UOAD may inject into REIT one day. With UOAD being granted a "Right of First Refusal" to inject its completed commercial buildings into UOA REIT, it definitely provides UOAD the opportunity to redeploy its capital where the proceeds from asset injections will be re-utilized for future development projects. This would act like a "ready-exit" strategy for UOAD's asset. Not good enough?

Source: OSK Research

By managing its construction works in-house, this gave UOA a very competitive cost advantage, resulting in gross development margins of 50%, which is way above the industry average. They got their own team of architects, planning experts, M&E and civil engineers and quantity surveyor, hence, giving UOAD the edge to respond wisely and promptly to any unforeseen changes.


At last but not least, of course, is UOAD's flagship integrated property development project - Bangsar South. RM8bn, 60-acre located near Federal Highway and Mid Valley. According to HL Research, the land was acquired in 2005 for RM46psf, and its Horizon project has commanded pricing of RM600psf despite its leasehold status. In short, strategic location with huge value enhancement potential.

Fair Value?
OSK gave RM3.57
RHB gave RM3.45
HLIB gave RM2.57

Source: HLIB Research

Monday, 7 March 2011

Berjaya Food: Testing Investors' Appetite?

Listing tomorrow (March 8), Berjaya Food (BFood), through its subsidiary Berjaya Roasters, is principally involved in the development and operation of the Kenny Rogers Roasters (KRR) chain of restaurants in Malaysia. All started when Berjaya Group acquired KRR in 1993, and being the exclusive franchisee in Malaysia, operating 52 outlets nationwide.
Kenny Rogers Roasters
What's in BFood mind?
  • Open 8-10 outlets per annum
  • Emphasizes healthy food targeting increasingly heath conscious consumers
What Analysts say?
The IPO price was set at RM0.51, and Berjaya Group will still be the largest shareholders after IPO with 70.91% shareholdings. OSK Research value BFood with a RM0.57 target price, based on 7.5x PE, which represents a 30% discount to its closest peer in Malaysia, QSR Brands due to its smaller revenue and earnings base. BFood intends to distribute up to 50% dividend payout.

Past and projected revenue. Source: OSK, Prospectus

More "food" for BFood? 
Berjaya Group does not discount the possibility of injecting its other food businesses into BFood once they turn more profitable. I believe this is just the beginning for Berjaya Group to unlock its value in food and beverages businesses. Potential businesses that may injected includes:

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